Job Growth In Low-Tax States Doubles Pace Of High-Tax Peers

Low state tax rates appear to be driving faster job growth since President Trump signed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 into law in December of that year. The law limited state and local tax (SALT) deductions for individual income tax filers who itemized to $10,000 per household, having the economic effect of increasing the advantage held by low-tax states in attracting investment.

In the 27 states with SALT deductions averaging under $10,000 in 2016, private sector job growth from December 2017 to June 2019 was 3.5%, 98% greater growth than the 1.7% in the 23 high-tax states.

Since the law’s passage, politicians in high tax states such as California, New York and New Jersey have bitterly complained about the change to the tax code that allowed their higher income taxpayers to deduct their large state and local tax bills from their federal taxes.

Rather than seek to cut their own high tax rates, New York, New Jersey and Connecticut filed a lawsuit against the Trump administration this week, seeking to overturn new Internal Revenue Service rules that quash attempts by high-tax states to use creative accounting to allow their wealthier taxpayers to continue to be able to deduct large state and local tax bills.

Of the ten states seeing the highest private sector payroll growth since December 2017, only one, Oregon, was among the 23 high-tax states.